07_taller_n1_pronosticos_act_7_pdf

TALLER No. 1 PRONÓSTICOS

La directora de tráfico de una empresa de fabricación de cortadoras de césped de tamaño medio
reunió en la siguiente tabla los datos de los envíos de los últimos diez años:
AÑO

CÓDIGO

GRUPO

ENE

FEB

MAR

ABR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

OCT

NOV

DIC

2010

10103010

G1

4.779 12.523 12.500 15.119 21.371 12.161 13.965 11.619 3.385 4.120 12.721 9.710

2010

10103020

G26.578

5.427

8.656

6.654

8.483

4.534 11.253

9.406 4.681 5.775

9.311 8.164

2010

10103110

G3

1.690

5.558

2.381

4.669

6.320

7.195

7.349

6.310 2.813 3.630

2.237 4.652

2010

10103120

G4

1.690

5.558

2.381

4.669

6.320

7.195

7.349

6.310 2.813 4.024

2.237 4.652

2010

10103210

G5

4.129

1.191

4.092

3.793

3.507

4.263

3.802

4.164 3.200 2.405

1.841 3.308

2010

10103310G6

4.129

1.191

4.092

3.793

3.507

4.263

3.802

4.164 3.200 2.405

1.841 3.308

2009

10103010

G1

4.445 11.396 11.345 13.456 15.388 11.067 11.172

8.715 2.945 3.456

9.160 7.963

2009

10103020

G2

5.855

4.776

8.310

4.791

6.532

3.174

7.990

6.773 3.605 4.101

8.194 7.675

2009

10103110

G3

1.589

4.225

1.715

3.269

4.614

6.476

5.733

6.058 2.392 3.522

2.103 3.955

200910103120

G4

1.319

3.891

2.239

4.249

5.436

6.332

7.056

5.995 1.970 3.179

1.947 3.908

2009

10103210

G5

3.634

894

2.988

3.452

2.981

3.368

3.498

3.706 2.784 1.997

1.768 2.515

2009

10103310

G6

2.973

1.132

3.151

3.680

3.297

3.709

3.270

3.915 3.104 1.973

1.639 2.945

2008

10103010

G1

3.468 10.827

8.282 12.245 14.927

8.965

9.273

6.188 2.415 3.111

8.428 7.008

200810103020

G2

5.036

4.108

7.978

3.737

4.899

2.794

7.032

6.299 2.596 3.404

6.064 6.064

2008

10103110

G3

1.303

3.127

1.458

2.452

3.830

6.217

5.447

4.423 1.986 3.311

1.578 3.006

2008

10103120

G4

1.214

2.763

2.150

3.995

4.512

5.573

5.081

4.916 1.773 2.385

1.733 2.971

2008

10103210

G5

2.617

716

2.720

2.451

2.534

2.796

2.764

2.965 1.977 1.538

1.556 1.786

200810103310

G6

2.082

1.087

2.427

3.423

2.968

3.598

2.551

3.641 2.980 1.776

1.476 2.445

2007

10103010

G1

3.018

9.745

6.626 11.511 11.046

6.366

8.624

5.693 1.763 2.427

8.091 6.238

2007

10103020

G2

4.785

3.451

7.659

3.551

4.067

2.320

5.696

5.985 2.103 2.485

5.094 5.216

2007

10103110

G3

1.121

2.721

1.342

2.305

2.796

5.036

4.630

3.185 1.748 2.649

1.168 2.4952007

10103120

G4

1.105

2.156

1.505

3.276

3.384

4.403

4.878

4.474 1.561 2.099

1.387 2.645

2007

10103210

G5

2.330

674

2.068

1.741

1.774

2.713

2.046

2.461 1.384 1.123

1.276 1.286

2007

10103310

G6

1.853

914

2.039

2.705

2.464

3.347

2.220

2.622 2.116 1.652

1.196 1.932

2006

10103010

G1

2.415

8.966

5.699 10.936

8.837

5.284

7.935

5.124 1.287 2.209

5.988 4.6792006

10103020

G2

3.781

2.796

6.664

3.090

3.132

1.856

4.899

5.387 2.019 1.988

4.738 4.278

2006

10103110

G3

841

2.313

980

2.167

2.293

4.432

4.029

2.294 1.224 2.199

935 2.246

2006

10103120

G4

929

1.919

1.250

2.851

2.742

3.919

3.903

4.206 1.265 1.554

1.277 2.460

2006

10103210

G5

2.191

493

1.614

1.567

1.704

2.198

1.555

1.723 1.274

989

1.238 1.055

200610103310

G6

1.798

851

1.632

2.219

1.750

3.046

2.021

1.862 1.990 1.388

1.077 1.449

2005

10103010

G1

2.295

6.277

5.244

9.624

8.219

3.911

6.825

3.946 1.197 1.856

4.192 4.352

2005

10103020

G2

2.912

2.014

6.465

2.967

2.694

1.782

4.753

5.118 1.737 1.810

3.554 3.851

2005

10103110

G3

791

1.620

824

1.951

1.904

4.167

3.788

1.996 1.163 1.584

795 1.775

200510103120

G4

809

1.382

1.150

2.623

2.194

3.724

3.084

3.576 1.038 1.275

1.137 2.264

2005

10103210

G5

1.950

449

1.550

1.317

1.313

1.693

1.431

1.431 1.109

960

954 1.013

2005

10103310

G6

1.277

758

1.551

2.131

1.365

2.285

1.860

1.360 1.453 1.333

830 1.406

2004

10103010

G1

2.135

4.771

4.510

9.047

6.658

2.738

5.392

2.999 1.138 1.652

3.731 3.395

2004

10103020...