Econometria Adl y Var

Años | PIB REAL 94 | IMP | TCR | LnPIB | LnM | LnTCR |
1950 | 7884056.26 | 1551.37 | 34.73 | 15.88 | 7.35 | 3.55 |
1951 | 8104720.34 | 1599.88 | 44.58 | 15.91 | 7.38 | 3.80 |
1952 | 8619309.82 | 1631.70 | 47.85 | 15.97 | 7.40 | 3.87 |
1953 | 9058660.48 | 2177.56 | 44.83 | 16.02 | 7.69 | 3.80 |
1954 | 9707901.93 | 2670.08 | 42.07 | 16.09 | 7.89 | 3.74 |
1955 | 10092983.30 | 2651.58 |39.62 | 16.13 | 7.88 | 3.68 |
1956 | 10572559.41 | 2522.45 | 36.47 | 16.17 | 7.83 | 3.60 |
1957 | 10929406.16 | 1799.16 | 46.65 | 16.21 | 7.50 | 3.84 |
1958 | 11137011.68 | 1471.28 | 72.23 | 16.23 | 7.29 | 4.28 |
1959 | 11935149.19 | 1525.95 | 71.31 | 16.29 | 7.33 | 4.27 |
1960 | 12413442.58 | 1902.29 | 71.91 | 16.33 | 7.55 | 4.28 |
1961 | 13051167.74 | 2050.72 | 68.22 | 16.38 | 7.63 |4.22 |
1962 | 13734532.12 | 1984.16 | 65.16 | 16.44 | 7.59 | 4.18 |
1963 | 14175235.87 | 1863.11 | 65.06 | 16.47 | 7.53 | 4.18 |
1964 | 15030175.14 | 2154.41 | 60.61 | 16.53 | 7.68 | 4.10 |
1965 | 15633714.29 | 1633.93 | 64.17 | 16.56 | 7.40 | 4.16 |
1966 | 16503577.07 | 2352.13 | 82.06 | 16.62 | 7.76 | 4.41 |
1967 | 17115707.64 | 1728.98 | 77.49 | 16.66 | 7.46 | 4.35 |
1968 |18185919.47 | 2183.80 | 83.36 | 16.72 | 7.69 | 4.42 |
1969 | 19338689.80 | 2238.50 | 86.83 | 16.78 | 7.71 | 4.46 |
1970 | 20640504.09 | 2657.96 | 92.96 | 16.84 | 7.89 | 4.53 |
1971 | 21929433.41 | 2835.94 | 91.08 | 16.90 | 7.95 | 4.51 |
1972 | 23673533.22 | 2510.33 | 90.75 | 16.98 | 7.83 | 4.51 |
1973 | 25319739.88 | 2741.76 | 84.40 | 17.05 | 7.92 | 4.44 |
1974 | 26947693.33 | 3472.29 |80.05 | 17.11 | 8.15 | 4.38 |
1975 | 27773600.26 | 2974.44 | 88.51 | 17.14 | 8.00 | 4.48 |
1976 | 29272796.41 | 3247.04 | 82.53 | 17.19 | 8.09 | 4.41 |
1977 | 30701217.29 | 3634.16 | 72.91 | 17.24 | 8.20 | 4.29 |
1978 | 33497934.78 | 4715.10 | 70.36 | 17.33 | 8.46 | 4.25 |
1979 | 35512375.01 | 4775.84 | 66.24 | 17.39 | 8.47 | 4.19 |
1980 | 37234398.23 | 6035.18 | 65.95 | 17.43 | 8.71 |4.19 |
1981 | 38422747.47 | 6166.56 | 65.69 | 17.46 | 8.73 | 4.18 |
1982 | 39046379.09 | 6368.86 | 66.28 | 17.48 | 8.76 | 4.19 |
1983 | 40002627.69 | 5704.54 | 71.84 | 17.50 | 8.65 | 4.27 |
1984 | 41485471.19 | 5038.22 | 80.80 | 17.54 | 8.52 | 4.39 |
1985 | 43003168.49 | 4654.95 | 101.83 | 17.58 | 8.45 | 4.62 |
1986 | 45701670.78 | 4470.28 | 120.18 | 17.64 | 8.41 | 4.79 |
1987 |48442599.03 | 4780.42 | 131.42 | 17.70 | 8.47 | 4.88 |

Años | PIB REAL 94 | IMP | TCR | LnPIB | LnM | LnTCR |
1988 | 50839266.55 | 5440.53 | 130.37 | 17.74 | 8.60 | 4.87 |
1989 | 52841623.11 | 5189.05 | 137.20 | 17.78 | 8.55 | 4.92 |
1990 | 55506536.46 | 5588.54 | 138.34 | 17.83 | 8.63 | 4.93 |
1991 | 57154902.07 | 4951.65 | 138.39 | 17.86 | 8.51 | 4.93 |
1992 | 59689627.26 | 6575.47 |116.75 | 17.90 | 8.79 | 4.76 |
1993 | 63203248.53 | 9610.94 | 113.30 | 17.96 | 9.17 | 4.73 |
1994 | 67532862.00 | 10688.12 | 100.00 | 18.03 | 9.28 | 4.61 |
1995 | 71046217.00 | 12013.79 | 94.57 | 18.08 | 9.39 | 4.55 |
1996 | 72506824.00 | 11615.06 | 90.43 | 18.10 | 9.36 | 4.50 |
1997 | 74994021.00 | 13030.69 | 87.59 | 18.13 | 9.48 | 4.47 |
1998 | 75412448.00 | 12721.38 | 95.80 | 18.14 |9.45 | 4.56 |
1999 | 72208685.00 | 9171.55 | 109.90 | 18.10 | 9.12 | 4.70 |
2000 | 74230240.00 | 9333.50 | 104.47 | 18.12 | 9.14 | 4.65 |

TRABAJO FINAL DE ECONOMETRIA II

MARCO TEORICO
La apertura de los mercados nacionales al comercio internacional genera una dinámica en la que la demanda agregada puede diferir de la oferta agregada, dada la interacción entre los diferentes mercados. Esasí, como se hace esencial el estudio del comportamiento del sector externo para ver como afecta éste a la producción y al desarrollo interno. La teoría económica plantea una relación positiva entre comercio internacional y crecimiento del producto explicada por la existencia de economías a escala, división del trabajo mas intensa, mayor competitividad de exportadores gracias a las importaciones...