Estadistica inferencial
Decidí que el mejor método a emplear para su resolución es el Método de Winters, mis variables son las siguientes:
Alfa
Beta
Gama
0.4
0.1
0.3Tabla 1.1 Opción A:
AÑO
B
Lt
Tt
St
1975
111592.85
116281.62
0
1
1976
97554.713
108790.86
-749.0763
0.9690154
1977
152039.16
127585.34
1205.2792
1.0358107
1978
121111.54124044.13
730.63029
1.017975
1979
155326.59
135898.41
1842.9958
1.0554708
1980
224179.04
167603.72
4829.2271
1.1400958
1981
162964.79
160635.59
3649.4914
1.102417
1982
147074.9
151935.572414.5404
1.0620944
1983
201615.57
168541.38
3833.6676
1.1023374
1984
134008.88
152052.2
1801.3826
1.0360366
1985
234580.42
182880.54
4704.0783
1.1100349
1986
138331.85
162398.522185.4682
1.0325659
1987
208996.12
179712.25
3698.2942
1.0716807
1988
260564.03
207300.68
6087.3078
1.1272578
1989
220477.75
206267.87
5375.296
1.1097476
1990
220312.69
206395.914850.5712
1.0970516
1991
291086.02
232881.83
7014.1058
1.1429151
1992
233216.48
225559.19
5580.4307
1.110225
1993
277722.59
238743.7
6340.839
1.1261375
1994
195463.51
216478.663480.251
1.0591731
1995
269242.46
233655.6
4849.9196
1.0871126
1996
262551.61
239708.43
4970.2112
1.0895675
1997
294221.16
254821.11
5984.4581
1.1090828
1998
235720.97
241498.084053.7095
1.0691814
1999
232987.12
234495.75
2948.1053
1.0464969
2000
204707.88
220711.32
1274.8513
1.0107953
2001
309191.65
255547.49
4630.9837
1.0705323
2002
279427.51
260514.03...
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