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Prospects for the Global Economy

Home > Data & Research > Prospects > Prospects for the Gl... > Global outlook summa... > Table 1. The global outlook in summary, ... Home Overview & main messages Global outlook summary table Recent developments HeadwindsOutlook Risks Challenges Conclusion Regional outlooks Bibliographic references

Table 1. The global outlook in summary, 2010-2014
Download June 2012 forecast (17KB) (percent change from previous year, except interest rates and oil prices) 2010 Global Conditions World Trade Volume (GNFS) Consumer Prices G-7 Countries 1,2 United States Commodity Prices (USD terms) Non-oil commodities Oil Price(US$ per barrel) 3 Oil price (percent change) Manufactures unit export value 4 Interest Rates $, 6-month (percent) €, 6-month (percent) Developing countries Net private and official inflows Net private inflows (equity + debt) East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and N. Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Real GDP growth 5 World Memo item: World (PPPweights) 6 High income OECD Countries Euro Area Japan United States Non-OECD countries Developing countries East Asia and Pacific China Indonesia Thailand Europe and Central Asia Russia Turkey Romania Latin America and Caribbean Brazil Mexico Argentina Middle East and N. Africa Egypt 7 4.1 5.1 3.0 2.9 1.8 4.5 3.0 7.4 7.4 9.7 10.4 6.2 7.8 5.4 4.3 9.2 -1.6 6.1 7.5 5.5 9.2 3.8 5.0 2.7 3.7 1.6 1.41.6 -0.7 1.7 4.8 6.1 8.3 9.2 6.5 0.1 5.6 4.3 8.5 2.5 4.3 2.7 3.9 8.9 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.3 1.4 1.3 -0.3 2.4 2.1 3.6 5.3 7.6 8.2 6.0 4.3 3.3 3.8 2.9 1.2 3.5 2.9 3.5 2.2 0.6 2.1 3.0 3.9 1.9 1.8 0.7 1.5 2.4 4.3 5.9 8.1 8.6 6.5 5.2 4.1 4.2 4.0 2.8 4.1 4.2 4.0 3.7 2.2 3.1 3.3 4.2 2.3 2.2 1.4 1.5 2.8 4.1 6.0 7.9 8.4 6.3 5.6 4.4 4.0 5.0 3.4 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.1 3.4 4.2 5.8 5.4 5.9 4.9 6.1 2.3 5.2 3.6 4.6 4.4 4.9 4.44.8 0.0 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.3 2.6 3.9 1.0 2.8 2.6 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.9 1.7 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.9 4.0 2.2 3.5 4.3 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.6 0.7 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.1 1.5 22.5 79.0 28.0 3.3 20.7 104.0 31.6 8.9 -8.5 106.6 2.5 0.9 -2.2 103.0 -3.4 1.2 -3.1 102.4 -0.6 1.5 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.1 1.9 2.6 1.8 2.4 2.0 2.5 13.0 6.1 5.3 7.0 7.7 2011 2012e 2013f 2014f Download January 2012 forecast (16KB)

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International capital flows to developing countries (% of GDP)

Egypt 7 Iran Algeria South Asia India 7, 8 Pakistan 7 Bangladesh 7 Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa Nigeria Angola Memorandum items Developing countries excluding transition countries excluding China and India2.9 3.3 8.6 9.6 4.1 6.1 5.0 2.9 7.9 3.4

2.0 2.5 7.1 6.9 2.4 6.7 4.7 3.1 7.4 3.4

-1.0 2.6 6.4 6.6 3.6 6.3 5.0 2.7 7.0 8.1

-0.7 3.2 6.5 6.9 3.8 6.4 5.3 3.4 7.2 7.4

1.5 3.6 6.7 7.1 4.1 6.5 5.2 3.5 6.6 6.8

7.8 5.6

6.4 4.4

5.5 3.6

6.1 4.3

6.2 4.5

Source: World Bank. Notes: PPP = purchasing power parity; e = estimate; f = forecast. 1. Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan,the UK, and the United States. 2. In local currency, aggregated using 2005 GDP Weights. 3. Simple average of Dubai, Brent and West Texas Intermediate. 4. Unit value index of manufactured exports from major economies, expressed in USD. 5. Aggregate growth rates calculated using constant 2005 dollars GDP weights. 6. Calculated using 2005 PPP weights. 7. In keeping with national practice, data forEgypt, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh are reported on a fiscal year basis in Table 1. Aggregates that depend on these countries, however, are calculated using data compiled on a calendar year basis. 8. Real GDP at market prices. GDP growth rates calculated using real GDP at factor cost, which are customarily reported in India, can vary significantly from these growth rates and have historically...