Proceso administrativo

ANALISIS PRIMARIO

Variación del 15%

_ n
X= ∑
I=1

|  | | | | |
|X |= |3550 |= |295.83 |
| | |12 | | |

LimiteSuperior= 295.83+(295.83 X 15%)= 340.20
Limite Central= 295.83
Límite Inferior= 295.83 – (295.83 x 15%)= 251.46

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r= n*∑(x*y) – (∑x . ∑y)

((N*∑(x²) – (∑(x)²*(N . ∑(y²) - ∑(y)²)r= (12*22710) – (78*3550)

((12*650) – (78)²) * ((12*1099850) – (3550)²)

r= -0.029112465

LINEA RECTA

a= ∑y [∑(x²)] - ∑(x)[∑(xy)]

N[∑(x²)] – [∑(x)]²

a= (2390*204) –(36*10620)

(8*204) – (36)²

a= 487560 – 382320 a= 105240 a= 313.21

1632 – 1296 336

b= N [∑(ny)] – ∑(x)[∑(y)]

N [∑(x²)] – [∑(x)]²

b= (8*10620) –(36*2390)

(8*204) - 36²

b= 84960 – 86040 b= -1080 b= -3.21

1632 – 1296 336

Yi= a+bXi

Y9= 313.21 + (-3.21*9) = 284.32

Y10= 313.21 +(-3.21*10) = 281.11

Y11= 313.21 + (-3.21*11) = 277.90

Y12= 313.21 + (-3.21*12) = 274.69

|PERIODO |VENTA |PRONOSTICO |ERROR|ERROR ACUMULADO |
|9 |290 |284.32 |5.68 |5.68 |
|10|280 |281.11 |(1.11) |6.79 |
|11 |400 |277.90 |122.10|128.89 |
|12 |190 |274.69 |(84.69) |213.58 |

HIPERBOLICOa= ∑(1/y) [∑(x²)] – ∑(x)[∑(x/y)]

N [∑(x²)] – [∑(x)]²

a= (0.027765714*204) – (36*0.12605977)

(8+204) - 204²

a= 5.664205656 – 4.53815172 a= 1.12610484 a=...