Strategic decision analysis
Páginas: 2 (440 palabras)
Publicado: 1 de noviembre de 2011
Strategic Decision Analysis
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuban Missile Crisis - original
6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
u
1 0
Donothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
v
0 0
Acquiesce Blockade FALSE 0 Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
w0 x0 0 y0z0
0 0
0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
FALSE 0
Players' preference rankings (high to low) Krushchev: v u w y z x Kennedy: w y u v x z
Strategic Decision Analysis
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuba- count strategies
6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
1 0
Do nothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
AcquiesceBlockade FALSE 0 Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
0 0 0 0
FALSE 0
0 0
Strategy 1 2 3 4 5
Scenario if Kennedyorders Blockade: If Kennedy orders Air Stike: Don't place missiles. Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Acquiesce Acquiesce Escalate Escalate AcquiesceEscalate Acquiesce Escalate
2x2=4 combinations of alternatives after placing
Note: 1. To identify and count strategies, we don't need to know anybody's preferences. 2. Strategies are complete,contingent plans. They are not straight paths or endpoints; we can't count them by counting simple pieces of the tree.
Strategic Decision Analysis
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuba - variation6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis VARIATION Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
1 0
Do nothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
Acquiesce Blockade FALSE 0Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Procrastinate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
0 0 0
FALSE 0 FALSE 0
Variation! Krushchev 0 has a new...
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuban Missile Crisis - original
6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
u
1 0
Donothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
v
0 0
Acquiesce Blockade FALSE 0 Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
w0 x0 0 y0z0
0 0
0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
FALSE 0
Players' preference rankings (high to low) Krushchev: v u w y z x Kennedy: w y u v x z
Strategic Decision Analysis
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuba- count strategies
6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
1 0
Do nothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
AcquiesceBlockade FALSE 0 Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
0 0 0 0
FALSE 0
0 0
Strategy 1 2 3 4 5
Scenario if Kennedyorders Blockade: If Kennedy orders Air Stike: Don't place missiles. Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Place missiles, and… Acquiesce Acquiesce Escalate Escalate AcquiesceEscalate Acquiesce Escalate
2x2=4 combinations of alternatives after placing
Note: 1. To identify and count strategies, we don't need to know anybody's preferences. 2. Strategies are complete,contingent plans. They are not straight paths or endpoints; we can't count them by counting simple pieces of the tree.
Strategic Decision Analysis
Seql Game Strats - Cuba.xlsx Cuba - variation6/22/2011
Don't place missiles Cuban Missile Crisis VARIATION Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
1 0
Do nothing Place missiles FALSE 0 Kennedy move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
Acquiesce Blockade FALSE 0Escalate Acquiesce Air strike FALSE 0 Escalate Procrastinate Krushchev move 0 Krushchev move 0
TRUE 0
0 0
FALSE 0 TRUE 0
0 0 0
FALSE 0 FALSE 0
Variation! Krushchev 0 has a new...
Leer documento completo
Regístrate para leer el documento completo.