A bad new

By Rob Taylor
Reuters
INNISFAIL, Australia – Australians voiced relief and surprise after one of the world’s most powerful cyclones spared the nation’s northeast coast from expected devastation onThursday, with no reported deaths despite winds tearing off roofs and toppling trees.
Cyclone Yasi, roughly the size of Italy and with winds forecast to hit at up to 300 km per hour (186 mph),threatened Australia with its second major natural disaster in as many months but ended up missing heavily populated areas.
The storm destroyed about 15 percent of the nation’s sugar cane crop, pushingworld prices to the highest in three decades, and prompted the evacuation of Xstrata Plc’s Mt Isa copper mine, which lay in its path.
“It’s amazing no-one was killed. The wind was howling like abanshee,” said farmer Nathan Fisher, speaking out the window of his four-wheel-drive vehicle as he returned to his property from a shelter in the small town of Innisfail.
But building engineers questionedwhether Cyclone Yasi, rated at the top level category five, was as powerful as forecast and said large cyclones tend to be over estimated.
“If winds were at 300 km an hour it would have been a 100percent wipe out,” said James Cook University’s George Walker, adding the damage suggested a category three cyclone.
“Even the newer buildings would by and large stay up but suffer some damage.”Australia, a vast continent with less than three people for every square kilometer, is one of the few countries where a storm as large and terrifying as Yasi – with a diameter of up to about 500 km (310miles) – could simply miss major cities. Even as Yasi began its 1,000 km (620 mile) march into the outback on Thursday, weakening as it went, tracking forecasts showed it was likely to hit only a handfulof small towns in a region that is home to about 400,000 people.
The lack of any major damage or substantial casualties was also attributed to several days of preparation, early evacuations, laws...