The Economy: Express Or Stopping

Páginas: 10 (2300 palabras) Publicado: 14 de octubre de 2012
TThe economy: Express or stopping? | The Economist

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Special report: India

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Express or stopping?
India's growth rate, supercharged for a decade, is falling back to older,
lower levels
Sep 29th 2012 | from the print edition

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INDIA'S TRAINS MOVE slowly. That gives passengers plenty of time to observe their

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fellow riders. They are travelling far to visit a hospital, take up a job, enroll at college.

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polishers in Gujarat all move as freely around their country as Americans hop from state

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to state. That mobility should give India an advantage over countries like China that
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Indians are also increasingly well connected. On one 4,200km train ride, through 615
stations, your correspondent never once losthis mobile-phone signal. A decade ago few

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would have cared, since only 9% had a phone of any kind. Now, according to census data
from last year, 63% of householders have a phone, usually a mobile. Ericsson, a maker of
phone handsets, said this month that three-quarters of Indians now have access to a
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The endless rows ofconcrete houses with trailing wires seen
from the windows tell a story too. The same census showed

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that of India's 247m households, two-thirds have electricity

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and nearly half TV. A similar number own bicycles, though
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2010 some 470m Indians had incomes between $1,000 and

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rise to 570m within a decade, creating a market worth $1
trillion. The big Indian firms that are doing best—such as

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The economy: Express or stopping? | The Economist

small consumer goods—are those targeting such buyers.

02/10/12 09:10
Sources & acknowledgements
Reprints

Yet the rosy forecasts were drawn up when the economy was
roaring ahead and it seemed that another decade or two of
similarly highgrowth would deliver a big mid-income

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economy. Now that prospect is in question. The next few

Raghuram Rajan

years are likely to see much slower expansion.

China

Doubters had long been saying that India's potential rate of

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