Econometria

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1.- OFAG= f (GAP, TMBGS) dado que:

OFAG= OFERTA AGREGADA
GAP = PRODUCTO INTERNO BRUTO
TMBGS= IMPORTACIONES DE BIENES Y SERVICIOS NO FACTORIALES

PERIODO | GAP | OFAG | TMBGS |
2007-1 | 3 |3.5 | -525 |
2007-2 | 2.9 | 3.6 | -1909 |
2007-3 | 3.5 | 4.7 | -2264 |
2007-4 | 3.7 | 4.9 | -1242 |
2008-1 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -1107 |
2008-2 | 2.8 | 4.3 | -791 |
2008-3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | -1937 |2008-4 | -0.8 | -3.6 | -2728 |
2009-1 | -7.2 | -11.7 | -1074 |
2009-2 | -9.6 | -14.3 | -1755 |
2009-3 | -5.5 | -9.1 | -2685 |
2009-4 | -2 | -1.7 | -2512 |
2010-1 | 4.6 | 8 | -1426 |Dependent Variable: OFAG | | |
Method: Least Squares | | |
Sample: 1 13 | | | |
Included observations: 13 | | |
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Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error |t-Statistic | Prob.   |
| | | | |
| | | | |
C | 0.185885 | 0.840366 | 0.221195 | 0.8294 |
GAP | 1.517732 | 0.072379 | 20.96909 | 0.0000 |
TMBGS | 0.000269 | 0.000463 | 0.581078 |0.5741 |
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| | | | |
R-squared | 0.979774 |     Mean dependent var | -0.338462 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.975729 |     S.D. dependent var | 7.186392 |
S.E. of regression |1.119577 |     Akaike info criterion | 3.262953 |
Sum squared resid | 12.53453 |     Schwarz criterion | 3.393326 |
Log likelihood | -18.20920 |     F-statistic | 242.2095 |
Durbin-Watson stat |1.381323 |     Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 |
| | | | |
klñ | | | | |

OFAG= B0 + B1 GAP + B2 TMBGS
OFAG= (0-18) + (1.51) GAP + (0.000269) TMBGS
t = 0.22 + 20.96 +0.58
F-statistic= 242.20
R2 = 97.97%
DW = 1.38

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
F-statistic | 0.249034 |     Probability | 0.785378|
Obs*R-squared | 0.761925 |     Probability | 0.683203 |
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Test Equation: | | |
Dependent Variable: RESID | | |
Method: Least Squares |...
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