Politica Interna

Pronostico de Series de Tiempo Estandarizados.

Año Ventas Trimestrales Total
. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Anual
2009-2010 $28,145.11 $18,816.93$27,868.67 $23,363.38 $98,194.09
2010-2011 $28,367.33 $18,821.16 $25,566.78 $34,151.22 $106,906.49
Totales $56,512.44 $37,638.09$53,435.45 $57,514.60 $205,100.58
Prom. Trim. $28,256.22 $18,819.05 $26,717.73 $28,757.30 26, 357.48
IE 1.072037995 0.823245242 1.0136678471.091048917

Datos desestandarizados
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2009-2010 $26,303.84 $22,947.48 $27,592.74 $21,434.29
2010-2011 $26,511.52$29,976.10 $25,313.64 $31,331.39 A 23252.21533
B $705.37
Analisis de Regresion Y=A+BX 23,957.58 X
Periodo X Ventas x2 XY
Año 09-10 Q11 $26,303.84 1 $26,303.84 Periodos siguientes a pronosticar.
Año 09-10 Q2 2 $22,947.48 4 $45,894.95
Año 09-10 Q3 3 $27,592.74 9 $82,778.23 Q19 $215,618.22
Año 09-10 Q4 4 $21,434.29 16 $85,737.17 Q2 10 $239,575.80
Año 10-11 Q1 5 $26,511.52 25 $132,557.62 Q3 11 $263,533.38
Año 10-11 Q26 $29,976.10 36 $179,856.59 Q4 12 $287,490.96
Año 10-11 Q3 7 $25,313.64 49 $177,195.50
Año 10-11 Q4 8 $31,331.39 64 $250,651.16Sumatorias. $36.00 $211,411.01 $204.00 $980,975.06

Estacionalizar Periodos.
Periodo IE P. Desestac. P. Estac.
Q1 1.072037995$215,618.22 $230,711.50
Q2 0.823245242 $239,575.80 $6,756,452.16
Q3 1.013667847 $263,533.38 $266,168.71
Q4 1.091048917 $287,490.96 $313,365.15