Modelo econometrico

Modelo Econométrico

En este modelo se demuestra que la partida del endeudamiento: conformado por la banca de desarrollo, la banca comercial y el banco de México, junto con la partida deactivos, formada por la inversión directa en el exterior determinan el nivel de la cuenta de capital dentro de la balanza de pagos .Se tomo como referencia datos de los años 2002 a 2009

CUENTA | DEUDA| INVERSION |
4610089.7 | 608200 | -1113446 |
4854453.6 | -5432000 | 3476203 |
5049590.5 | -1526000 | 620361 |
8764730.8 | 2136500 | 860457 |
7380641 | 1539600 | 1358563.4 |
4538043.8 |-1218500 | 572553.1 |
-479525.7 | -3257300 | -59715.2 |
7068170.2 | 1601800 | 1592793.7 |
5593998.7 | -1203900 | -3854559.8 |
-190376.8 | -2453400 | 107610.3 |
-2332459 | 2515000 | -9349310 |10777781.2 | -229671 | 1331023.1 |
3076643.7 | 3021000 | -9056530.1 |
712628.8 | -1410600 | -4735353.6 |
1359163.5 | -1327600 | -4526149.1 |
9753502.2 | 260200 | 4125387.9 |
788915.1 |-2379100 | -8846723.9 |
9592121 | 5116800 | -2649578.3 |
-14135527.6 | -5947500 | -6632769.7 |
1426691.7 | -6623800 | 214584.9 |
7067901.7 | 4290900 | -5889286.6 |
2182343.2 | 6223100 |-11031046.3 |
3885148.8 | 2582800 | -8435353 |
8324995.2 | 1984500 | -4676451 |
9356035 | 1861200 | -3056787.6 |
1482287.8 | 2839800 | -11512809.4 |
3128742.6 | 4314000 | -6370704 |
12323515.5 |-1007400 | 11860638.6 |
-2523820.7 | -1913300 | -5546285.7 |
-2525818.3 | 1114400 | -9375489.2 |
6913022.5 | 6801600 | -6264812.7 |
15669332.8 | 7982400 | 2624203 |
| | |

DependentVariable: CUENTA |
Method: Least Squares |
Date: 11/29/10 Time: 19:49 |
Sample: 1901:1 1908:4 |
Included observations: 32 |
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
C| 5793162. | 580219.2 | 9.984438 | 0.0000 |
DEUDA | 1.107218 | 0.150248 | 7.369258 | 0.0000 |
INVERSION | 0.795733 | 0.101759 | 7.819764 | 0.0000 |
R-squared | 0.756118 | Mean dependent...