Proyecto

DIA | ACTIVIDAD X DIA | ACT. ACUMULADAS | AVANCE PROG. |
1 | 1 | 1 | .008 |
2 | 1 | 2 | .017 |
3 | 1 | 3 | .026 |
4 | 1 | 4 | .035 |
5 | 1 | 5 | .043 |
6 | 1 | 6 | .052 |
7 | 1 | 7 | .061 |
8 | 1 | 8 | .070 |
9 | 1 | 9 | .078 |
10 | 1 | 10 | .087 |
11 | 1 | 11 | .096 |
12 | 1 | 12 | .105 |
13 | 1 | 13 | .114 |
14 | 1 | 14 | .122 |
15 | 1 | 15 | .131 |
16 | 1 | 16 |.140 |
17 | 1 | 17 | .149 |
18 | 1 | 18 | .157 |
19 | 1 | 19 | .166 |
20 | 1 | 20 | .175 |
21 | 1 | 21 | .184 |
22 | 7 | 28 | .245 |
23 | 7 | 35 | .307 |
24 | 7 | 42 | .368 |
25 | 5 | 47 | .412 |
26 | 5 | 52 | .456 |
27 | 5 | 57 | .500 |
28 | 4 | 61 | .535 |
29 | 4 | 65 | .570 |
30 | 4 | 69 | .605 |
31 | 5 | 74 | .649 |
32 | 4 | 78 | .684 |
33 | 4 | 82 | .719 |34 | 4 | 86 | .754 |
35 | 3 | 89 | .780 |
36 | 2 | 91 | .798 |
37 | 1 | 92 | .807 |
38 | 1 | 93 | .815 |
39 | 1 | 94 | .824 |
40 | 1 | 95 | .833 |
41 | 1 | 9 | .842 |
42 | 1 | 97 | .850 |
43 | 1 | 98 | .859 |
44 | 1 | 99 | .868 |
45 | 1 | 100 | .877 |
46 | 1 | 101 | .885 |
47 | 1 | 102 | .894 |
48 | 1 | 103 | .903 |
49 | 1 | 104 | .912 |
50 | 2 | 106 | .929 |
51| 2 | 108 | .9447 |
52 | 2 | 110 | .964 |
53 | 1 | 111 | .973 |
54 | 1 | 113 | .982 |
55 | 1 | 113 | .991 |
56 | 1 | 114 | 1 |

DIA | ACT | %AVANCE | DIA | ACT | %AVANCE | DIA | ACT | %AVANCE |
1 | A | .05 | 25 | F | .16 | | T | 1 |
2 | A | .11 | | H | .16 | | L | .33 |
3 | A | .17 | | D | .12 | 35 | J | 1 |
4 | A | .23 | | P | .33 | | N | .75 |
5 | A | .29 | | Q |.75 | | L | .50 |
6 | A | .35 | 26 | F | .33 | 36 | N | 1 |
7 | A | .41 | | H | .33 | | L | .66 |
8 | A | .47 | | D | .25 | 37 | L | .83 |
9 | A | .52 | | P | .66 | 38 | L | 1 |
10 | A | .58 | | R | .33 | 39 | U | .33 |
11 | A | .64 | 27 | F | .50 | 40 | U | .66 |
12 | A | .70 | | H | .50 | 41 | U | .99 |
13 | A | .76 | | D | .37 | 42 | V | .12 |
14 | A | .82 | | P | .99 |43 | V | .25 |
15 | A | .88 | | R | .60 | 44 | V | .37 |
16 | A | .94 | 28 | F | .66 | 45 | V | .50 |
17 | A | 1 | | H | .66 | 46 | V | .62 |
18 | B | .25 | | D | .50 | 47 | V | .75 |
19 | B | .50 | | R | .99 | 48 | V | .87 |
20 | B | .75 | 29 | F | .83 | 49 | V | 1 |
21 | B | 1 | | H | .83 | 50 | X | .33 |
22 | E | .33 | | D | .62 | | W | .14 |
| I | .33 | | S | .33 |51 | X | .66 |
| G | .33 | 30 | F | 1 | | W | .28 |
| C | .33 | | H | 1 | 52 | X | .99 |
| K | .33 | | D | .75 | | W | 42 |
| O | .33 | | S | .66 | 53 | W | .57 |
| Q | .25 | 31 | J | .20 | 54 | W | .71 |
23 | E | .66 | | M | .50 | 55 | W | .85 |
| I | .66 | | T | .25 | 56 | W | 1 |
| G | .66 | | D | .87 | |
| C | .66 | | S | .99 | |
| K | .66 | 32 | J | .40| |
| O | .66 | | M | 1 | |
| Q | .50 | | T | .50 | |
24 | E | .99 | | D | 1 | |
| I | .99 | 33 | J | .60 | |
| G | .99 | | N | .25 | |
| C | .99 | | T | .75 | |
| K | .99 | | L | .16 | |
| O | .99 | 34 | J | .80 | |
| Q | .75 | | N | .50 | |

VARIANZA DEL PROYECTO:
T=T-O6
T2=(T-O6)
ACTIVIDADES A,B,C,D,L,U,V,W
ACT. | T |T2 | ACT. | T | T2 |
A = | 0.33 | O.11 | L = | 0.16 | 0.02 |
B = | 0.16 | 0.02 | U = | 0.33 | 0.11 |
C = | 0.33 | 0.11 | V = | 0.16 | 0.02 |
D = | 0.16 | 0,02 | W = | 0.33 | 0.11 |

T= 1.96 56 DIAS + 1.96 = 57.96 = 58 DIAS
T= 0.52

PROBABILIDAD DE TERMINACION EN UNA FECHA DETERMINADA.

Z=T-TeT2 = ?

Z=57.96-560.5 2 = 2.71

1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |12 | 13 |
día | Act. | e | 1/e | díastranscurridos | %prog. | % real | Fa. | avancede act. | %acumulado | avanceproyecto | avanceprogramado | E(p) |
1 | A | 17 | .058 | 1 | .058 | .058 | .149 | .008 | 0 | .008 | .008 | 1 |
2 | A | 17 | .058 | 2 | .116 | .116 | .149 | .017 | 0 | .017 | .017 | 1 |
3 | A | 17 | .058 | 3 | .174 | .174 | .149 | .026 | 0 | .026 | .026 | 1 |
4 | A | 17 | .058...