Tecnologia
Páginas: 10 (2480 palabras)
Publicado: 16 de enero de 2011
© Ericsson AB 2006
1
Market Update
La maquina del tiempo
© Ericsson AB 2006
2
Market Update
Titulares de un diario, que año ?
El mundo se hace mas pequeño Aparecen nuevas tecnologías de comunicación dramáticamente mas rápidas Las economías de escala dominan el mundo de los negocios Viejas companías se estancan y mueren Nuevos empresarios construyen imperios Leyes para ladefensa de la competencia vs. monopolios de facto
© Ericsson AB 2006 3 Market Update
El año : …1869
© Ericsson AB 2006
4
Market Update
Lección
La tecnología cambia.
Las leyes económicas NO.
© Ericsson AB 2006 5 Market Update
Leyes a las que la industria esta sujeta:
Ley de Moore: la capacidad de procesamiento se duplica cada 18 meses (Intel) Capacidad de almacenamiento(ley de Kryder ?): desde 1956 la capacidad de almacenamiento se multiplico por 50 millones ! (de 2000 bits p / pulgada cuadrada a 100 billones de bits p / pulgada cuadrada) la siguiente meta : 1 Terabit por pulgada cuadrada. (Seagate)
© Ericsson AB 2006
6
Market Update
Una visión al futuro de las Telecomunicaciones
MVD Telcom 2006
Eduardo Oscar Griffa
Director Regional deSoluciones & Marketing MU Latino América sur; Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, Perú & Uruguay
A milestone quarter for GSM
15 years and 2 billion users GSM a major success with Ericsson leadership 2 billion GSM subscriptions - 1,000 new users per minute*
– 12 years to reach first billion – 30 months for second billion – 80% of second billion in high-growth markets
GSM paving the way for 3G andfuture technologies
– 690 networks across more than 200 countries*
Source: GSM Association
GSM/ WCDMA the winning track – now 100 WCDMA networks
© Ericsson AB 2006 8 Market Update
Mobility changes the world
Traffic accelerates with new services
Global cellular reported subscriptions
4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500
Traffic in mobile networks
3 000 000
Mobile data traffic
2 250000
1 500 000
2 000
Mobile Internet Mobile Office TV streaming/ video telephony Music and other downloads
Subscriptions (million)
High growth markets
750 000
1 500 1 000 500 0
Terabyte
Mature markets
20 11 20 04 20 01 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 02 20 03 20 08 20 09 20 10
Voice traffic
0
05 04 10 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 1 1
20 00
© Ericsson AB 2006
9
20Market Update
Mobility changes the world
Traffic accelerates with new services
Global cellular reported subscriptions
4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500
Traffic in mobile networks
3 000 000
2010
2 250 000
1 500 000
2 000
Mobile data
Subscriptions (million)
High growth markets
750 000
1 500 1 000 500 0
Mature markets
20 11 20 04 20 01 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 02 20 03 2008 20 09 20 10
Terabyte
Mobile Voice
0
05 04 10 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 1 1
20 00
Mobile data to pass voice 2010 - fixed data passed voice 2000
© Ericsson AB 2006 10 Market Update
20
Wireline network traffic
IPTV/Internet the main traffic drivers
Subscriber traffic in fixed access networks
300 000 000
IPTV Assumption:
225 000 000
50 Mn IPTV subscribers in2011 4 hours/day – 5 Mbps (from 2007)
150 000 000
IPTV
75 000 000
Terabyte
Internet
0
20 07 20 05 20 06 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11
Market Update
Voice
© Ericsson AB 2006
11
From Voice services to Choice of services
BUSD
Operator service revenues
Videoconference News & Sport Mobile - TV Positioning Surfing Music Gaming Cameras E- mail
In no va tio n
3G, HSPA,3G LTE Broadband Migration to All-IP, IMS
cast fore ting Exis
1000
Time
2000
© Ericsson AB 2006 12 Market Update
The new communications landscape
“Triple Play” and new services drive the operators
Operator domain
Mobile Phones Mobile Operator Volume/year: 900 Million
PC
Fixed line Operator
Cable TV Operators
TV
Volume/year: 150 Million
Volume/year: 170...
1
Market Update
La maquina del tiempo
© Ericsson AB 2006
2
Market Update
Titulares de un diario, que año ?
El mundo se hace mas pequeño Aparecen nuevas tecnologías de comunicación dramáticamente mas rápidas Las economías de escala dominan el mundo de los negocios Viejas companías se estancan y mueren Nuevos empresarios construyen imperios Leyes para ladefensa de la competencia vs. monopolios de facto
© Ericsson AB 2006 3 Market Update
El año : …1869
© Ericsson AB 2006
4
Market Update
Lección
La tecnología cambia.
Las leyes económicas NO.
© Ericsson AB 2006 5 Market Update
Leyes a las que la industria esta sujeta:
Ley de Moore: la capacidad de procesamiento se duplica cada 18 meses (Intel) Capacidad de almacenamiento(ley de Kryder ?): desde 1956 la capacidad de almacenamiento se multiplico por 50 millones ! (de 2000 bits p / pulgada cuadrada a 100 billones de bits p / pulgada cuadrada) la siguiente meta : 1 Terabit por pulgada cuadrada. (Seagate)
© Ericsson AB 2006
6
Market Update
Una visión al futuro de las Telecomunicaciones
MVD Telcom 2006
Eduardo Oscar Griffa
Director Regional deSoluciones & Marketing MU Latino América sur; Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, Perú & Uruguay
A milestone quarter for GSM
15 years and 2 billion users GSM a major success with Ericsson leadership 2 billion GSM subscriptions - 1,000 new users per minute*
– 12 years to reach first billion – 30 months for second billion – 80% of second billion in high-growth markets
GSM paving the way for 3G andfuture technologies
– 690 networks across more than 200 countries*
Source: GSM Association
GSM/ WCDMA the winning track – now 100 WCDMA networks
© Ericsson AB 2006 8 Market Update
Mobility changes the world
Traffic accelerates with new services
Global cellular reported subscriptions
4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500
Traffic in mobile networks
3 000 000
Mobile data traffic
2 250000
1 500 000
2 000
Mobile Internet Mobile Office TV streaming/ video telephony Music and other downloads
Subscriptions (million)
High growth markets
750 000
1 500 1 000 500 0
Terabyte
Mature markets
20 11 20 04 20 01 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 02 20 03 20 08 20 09 20 10
Voice traffic
0
05 04 10 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 1 1
20 00
© Ericsson AB 2006
9
20Market Update
Mobility changes the world
Traffic accelerates with new services
Global cellular reported subscriptions
4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500
Traffic in mobile networks
3 000 000
2010
2 250 000
1 500 000
2 000
Mobile data
Subscriptions (million)
High growth markets
750 000
1 500 1 000 500 0
Mature markets
20 11 20 04 20 01 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 02 20 03 2008 20 09 20 10
Terabyte
Mobile Voice
0
05 04 10 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 1 1
20 00
Mobile data to pass voice 2010 - fixed data passed voice 2000
© Ericsson AB 2006 10 Market Update
20
Wireline network traffic
IPTV/Internet the main traffic drivers
Subscriber traffic in fixed access networks
300 000 000
IPTV Assumption:
225 000 000
50 Mn IPTV subscribers in2011 4 hours/day – 5 Mbps (from 2007)
150 000 000
IPTV
75 000 000
Terabyte
Internet
0
20 07 20 05 20 06 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11
Market Update
Voice
© Ericsson AB 2006
11
From Voice services to Choice of services
BUSD
Operator service revenues
Videoconference News & Sport Mobile - TV Positioning Surfing Music Gaming Cameras E- mail
In no va tio n
3G, HSPA,3G LTE Broadband Migration to All-IP, IMS
cast fore ting Exis
1000
Time
2000
© Ericsson AB 2006 12 Market Update
The new communications landscape
“Triple Play” and new services drive the operators
Operator domain
Mobile Phones Mobile Operator Volume/year: 900 Million
PC
Fixed line Operator
Cable TV Operators
TV
Volume/year: 150 Million
Volume/year: 170...
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